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The real estate market does not move in one direction nationwide. It never has. What is happening in Austin is not what is happening in Cleveland. What is true for a three-bedroom in the suburbs of Dallas has almost nothing to do with a two-bedroom in San Francisco. Before you do anything else, narrow your focus to the specific market you are shopping in and stop reading national headlines as if they apply to you personally.
The arithmetic here is brutal and worth understanding clearly. A buyer who financed a $400,000 home at three percent in 2021 pays roughly $1,686 per month on principal and interest. That same loan at a seven percent rate costs $2,661. The difference between those two payments explains why so many potential sellers are sitting tight. Volume collapsed. Prices mostly did not.
Affordability, by the standard measure of what share of median household income goes toward the monthly payment on a median-priced home, is near its worst level since the early 1980s. That is a real problem, and it is not going away quickly. But affordability being stretched does not mean prices are about to fall sharply. What it means, practically, is that the buyer who can close confidently has more leverage than the headline numbers suggest.
Shop at least three lenders before you commit to one. A seemingly small rate difference adds up to real money that most buyers leave on the table by taking the first offer they receive. Lender fees vary too. Request itemized fee schedules so you can compare apples to apples.
The inspection is where the marketing copy meets reality. Be there with the inspector and ask questions throughout. A good home inspector will walk you through what they are finding as they go, and the conversation is often more valuable than the written report that follows.
Negotiation works best when it is quiet and well-prepared. Before you make an offer, find out how long the listing has been active. A listing that has been relisted after a cancellation is a fundamentally different negotiation than a property that is drawing multiple showings every day.
For buyers with a real reason to be in a specific place for the foreseeable future, this market is full of opportunity that distracted or impatient buyers miss. The homes that are right for a specific buyer’s actual needs are still moving. They are moving to buyers who showed up prepared.
Buyers who take the time to research properly tend to find that the market is more navigable than the headlines suggest. A quick look at up-to-date property listings will tell you more about your local market than most of what you read in national coverage.